by a Thinker, Sailor, Blogger, Irreverent Guy from Madras

Tropical Cyclone 05B LEHAR to Landfall 28th afternoon


As I speculated earlier, the Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar has taken a slightly more westerly course, rather than a north-westerly one and is moving at almost double the speed - 12 Knots - to her previous meandering at 05 Knots.

The projected course of Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar is expected to take her to Machilipatnam coast, almost the same area where the earlier 04B Helen crossed the coast with such devastation.

Here is a satellite IR image of the Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar approaching the Andhra Pradesh coast.  The eye of the cyclone is *not* the bright IR patch on the coast but actually lies slightly south east - in the darker area.  I have tried to mark the approximate location with an ‘X’.

tropical-cyclone-05B-Lehar-approaching-coast
What a misery.  To be battered by two cyclonic storms in 2 weeks is not great news.  Though 05B Lehar has weakened into a Deep Depression (in the words of IMD) and not as severe as the earlier 04B Helen, it is still expected to bring down a huge amount of water and significant storm surge to the battered Machilipatnam coast.

So why did the Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar weaken?  The circumstances leading to the weakening of the cyclone is explained concisely and beautifully in the IMD bulletin #32 (28th/0300Z): “The Deep Depression lies over colder sea area and close to the coast.  There is entrainment of dry and cold air from India into the cyclone field.  Under the circumstances, the system would weaken further…

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