by a Thinker, Sailor, Blogger, Irreverent Guy from Madras

There’s something about TC 05B LEHAR


On the footsteps of Tropical Cyclone 04B Helen, now comes 05B Lehar.  Unlike Helen which stayed as a Deep Depression for days and only picked up strength in the open waters of the Bay of Bengal, 05B Lehar has already been declared a cyclone wandering in the Andaman Sea.

Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar has not even crossed the Andaman and Nicobar Islands yet.  She is expected to cross the Andaman and Nicobar Islands between Hut Bay (Little Andaman) and Long Island, close to Port Blair (South Andaman) tonight - Duncan Passage perhaps?

It would then emerge into the Southern Bay of Bengal, and move west-northwest towards the Mainland, which provides Tropical Cyclone 05B Lehar to make the most of ‘steaming cauldron’ of the BoB to intensify many times over.

The next few days will have the authorities in my home state of Tamil Nadu, biting their nails off, as such a severe cyclone making landfall is really scary. 

And there is a chance that TC 05B Lehar might well choose the southernmost projected track and come to peck the Tamil face.  Does not the TN coast resemble that of a woman, with Chennai the ‘Bindi’ on the forehead?

tc-05b-lehar-24-nov-13

So let us just take a look at the track of Depression BOB 05 less than a month back, which petered out over Nagapatnam - the nose of the Tamil woman.
The Depression known as BOB 05 which formed in the dying days of October, threatened to develop into a cyclone, actually became one for a few days, meandered in a south easterly direction, came close to Northern Sri Lanka only to turn a little north and dissipate over the Nagapatnam coast.

It brought much needed rains to the southern Tamil Nadu, the Kaveri delta, and even to the parched Chennai Metro.

What is to be noted is that depression, just like TC 05B Lehar of today, passed the Andaman Islands almost on the same latitude.  So the big question is, which Indian coast will TC 05B Lehar eye?

Here is the comparison of them both when they were South of the Andamans.

tc-05b-lehar-and-bob-05



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